Impact by country
Croatia
- €880m
- 10-year exposure, Medium scenario
- €581m
- One-off migration cost, Medium
- €25m/yr
- Recurring price effect, Medium
Cost per person in the working-age labour force
Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon
| Measure | Narrow | Medium | Broad |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year total economic exposure | €148 | €507 | €1,072 |
| Effect on the real GDP level | -€3 | -€13 | -€30 |
Annual recurring cloud-service price effects
€ million, 2025 expenditure base
Sector
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €3.2m | €16m | €32m |
| Medium | €4m | €20m | €40m |
| Broad | €4.4m | €22m | €44m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €6.9m | €34m | €69m |
| Medium | €21m | €105m | €211m |
| Broad | €46m | €230m | €461m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €10m | €50m | €101m |
| Medium | €25m | €125m | €250m |
| Broad | €50m | €252m | €505m |
Migration and systems-redesign costs
Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion
Sector
Ordinary public support
€ million, public sector
Transition scarcity costs
Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined
Downstream ICT-vendor exposure
Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk
- 1
- Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
- 2
- Medium – vendor equivalents affected
- 5
- Broad – vendor equivalents affected
- €11m
- Narrow – annual value added at risk
- €43m
- Medium – annual value added at risk
- €97m
- Broad – annual value added at risk
Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits
€ billion, forgone productivity gains