Impact by country
Ireland
- €2.3bn
- 10-year exposure, Medium scenario
- €1.7bn
- One-off migration cost, Medium
- €51m/yr
- Recurring price effect, Medium
Cost per person in the working-age labour force
Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon
| Measure | Narrow | Medium | Broad |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year total economic exposure | €335 | €856 | €1,457 |
| Effect on the real GDP level | -€72 | -€287 | -€652 |
Annual recurring cloud-service price effects
€ million, 2025 expenditure base
Sector
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €17m | €86m | €173m |
| Medium | €21m | €105m | €211m |
| Broad | €23m | €115m | €230m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €9.7m | €48m | €97m |
| Medium | €30m | €148m | €295m |
| Broad | €65m | €323m | €646m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €27m | €135m | €269m |
| Medium | €51m | €253m | €506m |
| Broad | €88m | €438m | €876m |
Migration and systems-redesign costs
Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion
Sector
Ordinary public support
€ million, public sector
Transition scarcity costs
Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined
Downstream ICT-vendor exposure
Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk
- 1
- Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
- 5
- Medium – vendor equivalents affected
- 12
- Broad – vendor equivalents affected
- €25m
- Narrow – annual value added at risk
- €101m
- Medium – annual value added at risk
- €229m
- Broad – annual value added at risk
Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits
€ billion, forgone productivity gains