Impact by country
Italy
- €12.8bn
- 10-year exposure, Medium scenario
- €8.6bn
- One-off migration cost, Medium
- €338m/yr
- Recurring price effect, Medium
Cost per person in the working-age labour force
Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon
| Measure | Narrow | Medium | Broad |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year total economic exposure | €143 | €519 | €1,122 |
| Effect on the real GDP level | -€5 | -€18 | -€42 |
Annual recurring cloud-service price effects
€ million, 2025 expenditure base
Sector
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €35m | €174m | €348m |
| Medium | €47m | €235m | €469m |
| Broad | €53m | €266m | €532m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €91m | €456m | €911m |
| Medium | €291m | €1.5bn | €2.9bn |
| Broad | €648m | €3.2bn | €6.5bn |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €126m | €630m | €1.3bn |
| Medium | €338m | €1.7bn | €3.4bn |
| Broad | €701m | €3.5bn | €7bn |
Migration and systems-redesign costs
Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion
Sector
Ordinary public support
€ million, public sector
Transition scarcity costs
Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined
Downstream ICT-vendor exposure
Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk
- 6
- Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
- 23
- Medium – vendor equivalents affected
- 55
- Broad – vendor equivalents affected
- €118m
- Narrow – annual value added at risk
- €464m
- Medium – annual value added at risk
- €1.1bn
- Broad – annual value added at risk
Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits
€ billion, forgone productivity gains