Impact by country
Latvia
- €437m
- 10-year exposure, Medium scenario
- €291m
- One-off migration cost, Medium
- €12m/yr
- Recurring price effect, Medium
Cost per person in the working-age labour force
Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon
| Measure | Narrow | Medium | Broad |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year total economic exposure | €149 | €495 | €1,029 |
| Effect on the real GDP level | -€5 | -€20 | -€45 |
Annual recurring cloud-service price effects
€ million, 2025 expenditure base
Sector
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €1.8m | €8.8m | €18m |
| Medium | €2.1m | €11m | €21m |
| Broad | €2.3m | €12m | €23m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €3.3m | €16m | €33m |
| Medium | €10m | €50m | €100m |
| Broad | €22m | €110m | €219m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €5m | €25m | €50m |
| Medium | €12m | €61m | €122m |
| Broad | €24m | €121m | €243m |
Migration and systems-redesign costs
Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion
Sector
Ordinary public support
€ million, public sector
Transition scarcity costs
Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined
Downstream ICT-vendor exposure
Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk
- —
- Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
- 2
- Medium – vendor equivalents affected
- 3
- Broad – vendor equivalents affected
- €7.4m
- Narrow – annual value added at risk
- €29m
- Medium – annual value added at risk
- €67m
- Broad – annual value added at risk
Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits
€ billion, forgone productivity gains