Impact by country
Lithuania
- €921m
- 10-year exposure, Medium scenario
- €646m
- One-off migration cost, Medium
- €23m/yr
- Recurring price effect, Medium
Cost per person in the working-age labour force
Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon
| Measure | Narrow | Medium | Broad |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year total economic exposure | €222 | €620 | €1,147 |
| Effect on the real GDP level | -€4 | -€16 | -€36 |
Annual recurring cloud-service price effects
€ million, 2025 expenditure base
Sector
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €5.9m | €30m | €59m |
| Medium | €7.4m | €37m | €74m |
| Broad | €8.1m | €41m | €81m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €5.1m | €26m | €51m |
| Medium | €16m | €78m | €157m |
| Broad | €34m | €171m | €343m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €11m | €55m | €110m |
| Medium | €23m | €115m | €230m |
| Broad | €42m | €212m | €424m |
Migration and systems-redesign costs
Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion
Sector
Ordinary public support
€ million, public sector
Transition scarcity costs
Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined
Downstream ICT-vendor exposure
Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk
- 1
- Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
- 2
- Medium – vendor equivalents affected
- 5
- Broad – vendor equivalents affected
- €9.6m
- Narrow – annual value added at risk
- €38m
- Medium – annual value added at risk
- €87m
- Broad – annual value added at risk
Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits
€ billion, forgone productivity gains