ECIPE — European Centre for International Political Economy

A study by ECIPE

Cloud and AI Development Act (CADA)

The real-world economic impact of the Cloud and AI Development Act

Impact by country

Slovenia

€683m
10-year exposure, Medium scenario
€469m
One-off migration cost, Medium
€18m/yr
Recurring price effect, Medium

Cost per person in the working-age labour force

Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon

Measure Narrow Medium Broad
10-year total economic exposure €248 €682 €1,262
Effect on the real GDP level -€7 -€26 -€59

Annual recurring cloud-service price effects

€ million, 2025 expenditure base

Sector
Scenario Per year 5 years 10 years
Narrow €8.9m €45m €89m
Medium €18m €89m €178m
Broad €32m €161m €322m

Migration and systems-redesign costs

Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion

Sector
Narrow €144m
Medium €469m
Broad €868m

Ordinary public support

€ million, public sector

Narrow €0.1m
Medium €1.4m
Broad €4.3m

Transition scarcity costs

Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined

Narrow €0.1m
Medium €1.6m
Broad €6.7m

Downstream ICT-vendor exposure

Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk

0
Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
1
Medium – vendor equivalents affected
3
Broad – vendor equivalents affected
€6.8m
Narrow – annual value added at risk
€27m
Medium – annual value added at risk
€61m
Broad – annual value added at risk

Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits

€ billion, forgone productivity gains

Narrow €0.5m
Medium €6m
Broad €20m