Impact by country
Finland
- €2.3bn
- 10-year exposure, Medium scenario
- €1.6bn
- One-off migration cost, Medium
- €52m/yr
- Recurring price effect, Medium
Cost per person in the working-age labour force
Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon
| Measure | Narrow | Medium | Broad |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year total economic exposure | €335 | €864 | €1,494 |
| Effect on the real GDP level | -€15 | -€58 | -€133 |
Annual recurring cloud-service price effects
€ million, 2025 expenditure base
Sector
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €18m | €89m | €178m |
| Medium | €22m | €108m | €217m |
| Broad | €24m | €119m | €237m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €10m | €50m | €100m |
| Medium | €31m | €153m | €306m |
| Broad | €67m | €335m | €669m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €28m | €139m | €278m |
| Medium | €52m | €261m | €523m |
| Broad | €91m | €453m | €907m |
Migration and systems-redesign costs
Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion
Sector
Ordinary public support
€ million, public sector
Transition scarcity costs
Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined
Downstream ICT-vendor exposure
Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk
- 1
- Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
- 6
- Medium – vendor equivalents affected
- 13
- Broad – vendor equivalents affected
- €27m
- Narrow – annual value added at risk
- €108m
- Medium – annual value added at risk
- €246m
- Broad – annual value added at risk
Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits
€ billion, forgone productivity gains