Impact by country
Greece
- €2.4bn
- 10-year exposure, Medium scenario
- €1.6bn
- One-off migration cost, Medium
- €67m/yr
- Recurring price effect, Medium
Cost per person in the working-age labour force
Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon
| Measure | Narrow | Medium | Broad |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year total economic exposure | €151 | €517 | €1,093 |
| Effect on the real GDP level | -€4 | -€15 | -€34 |
Annual recurring cloud-service price effects
€ million, 2025 expenditure base
Sector
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €8.4m | €42m | €84m |
| Medium | €11m | €54m | €108m |
| Broad | €12m | €60m | €121m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €18m | €92m | €184m |
| Medium | €56m | €281m | €562m |
| Broad | €123m | €615m | €1.2bn |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €27m | €134m | €269m |
| Medium | €67m | €335m | €670m |
| Broad | €135m | €675m | €1.4bn |
Migration and systems-redesign costs
Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion
Sector
Ordinary public support
€ million, public sector
Transition scarcity costs
Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined
Downstream ICT-vendor exposure
Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk
- 1
- Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
- 3
- Medium – vendor equivalents affected
- 6
- Broad – vendor equivalents affected
- €12m
- Narrow – annual value added at risk
- €49m
- Medium – annual value added at risk
- €112m
- Broad – annual value added at risk
Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits
€ billion, forgone productivity gains