Impact by country
Luxembourg
- €578m
- 10-year exposure, Medium scenario
- €425m
- One-off migration cost, Medium
- €12m/yr
- Recurring price effect, Medium
Cost per person in the working-age labour force
Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon
| Measure | Narrow | Medium | Broad |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year total economic exposure | €790 | €1,711 | €2,498 |
| Effect on the real GDP level | -€124 | -€494 | -€1,122 |
Annual recurring cloud-service price effects
€ million, 2025 expenditure base
Sector
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €7m | €35m | €70m |
| Medium | €8.6m | €43m | €86m |
| Broad | €9.4m | €47m | €94m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €1.2m | €6.1m | €12m |
| Medium | €3.7m | €19m | €37m |
| Broad | €8.1m | €41m | €81m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €8.3m | €41m | €83m |
| Medium | €12m | €62m | €123m |
| Broad | €18m | €88m | €175m |
Migration and systems-redesign costs
Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion
Sector
Ordinary public support
€ million, public sector
Transition scarcity costs
Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined
Downstream ICT-vendor exposure
Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk
- —
- Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
- 1
- Medium – vendor equivalents affected
- 3
- Broad – vendor equivalents affected
- €6.7m
- Narrow – annual value added at risk
- €26m
- Medium – annual value added at risk
- €60m
- Broad – annual value added at risk
Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits
€ billion, forgone productivity gains