Impact by country
Sweden
- €3.6bn
- 10-year exposure, Medium scenario
- €2.5bn
- One-off migration cost, Medium
- €83m/yr
- Recurring price effect, Medium
Cost per person in the working-age labour force
Per economically active person (age 20–64), 10-year horizon
| Measure | Narrow | Medium | Broad |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year total economic exposure | €243 | €681 | €1,257 |
| Effect on the real GDP level | -€22 | -€88 | -€200 |
Annual recurring cloud-service price effects
€ million, 2025 expenditure base
Sector
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €21m | €106m | €212m |
| Medium | €26m | €129m | €259m |
| Broad | €28m | €142m | €283m |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €19m | €94m | €188m |
| Medium | €57m | €287m | €575m |
| Broad | €126m | €629m | €1.3bn |
| Scenario | Per year | 5 years | 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow | €40m | €200m | €400m |
| Medium | €83m | €417m | €834m |
| Broad | €154m | €770m | €1.5bn |
Migration and systems-redesign costs
Present value of one-off transition costs, € billion
Sector
Ordinary public support
€ million, public sector
Transition scarcity costs
Present value, € million, public and private sectors combined
Downstream ICT-vendor exposure
Domestic vendors affected, and annual value added at risk
- 3
- Narrow – vendor equivalents affected
- 11
- Medium – vendor equivalents affected
- 24
- Broad – vendor equivalents affected
- €51m
- Narrow – annual value added at risk
- €202m
- Medium – annual value added at risk
- €460m
- Broad – annual value added at risk
Combined delayed cloud and AI benefits
€ billion, forgone productivity gains